RIMM Takes the Market For a Ride
- Posted by Leigh Drogen
- on April 1st, 2010
I woke up this morning expecting the futures to be heavily red with a bad report from Research in Motion $RIMM yesterday afternoon and even worse reaction to said report. The market, just hanging out up here, looked vulnerable to getting smacked hard and all at once. So instead of the obvious, I woke up to the futures flying.
The market opened extremely strong with energy and materials leading the way, but the clamps were quickly placed on the market as $RIMM began to tank.
Although $RIMM is only a little more than 2% of the $QQQQ, it still weighs heavily on investors minds for some odd reason. It’s not really a bell weather stock anymore, it’s growth has slowed considerably due to its inability to innovate. If you want the rest of that rant just watch yesterday’s video. Anyway, $AAPL on the other hand is more than 16% of the Qs, 16!, while no other stock is greater than 4.5%. How this is the case I have no clue, but it’s true, which means that Apple really is the Qs.
And because of $RIMM, the $QQQQ broke some important levels today, ultimately closing flat. Technical damage was done though with the uptrend broken and the 48.10 level breached. There is major distribution going on here no doubt, the question is, will energy, materials, and financials be able to hold this market together while tech lags?
Each of those 6 green arrows represents a major bout of selling and distribution. The $SPY did manage to hold the support level at 117.10 today and did recapture the all important 117.50 level into the close, as well as holding the uptrend line. Technically the broader S&P 500 is still healthy short term and looks to go higher next week.
I loaded the boat this morning at around 11:30 after the first pullback, buying a large position in $DRQ, more $NUS, and a position in gasoline via $UGA. By the end of the day all three were well in the green, especially $DRQ which landed me greater than 3%. I’ve been wanting a piece of that stock for a long time. I did sell a 1/4 of my $VLTR position which broke out huge this morning.
I may be a little bit more paranoid than is warranted here because I am completely loaded, 2% cash now, but my guard is up for a quick strike on this market by equity holders with big gains to protect like myself. If next Monday opens strong this market should be clear for 1200, if we open weak, especially in tech, I may begin to lighten up.
Remember the market is closed tomorrow for Good Friday, happy Easter to all of the gentiles out there, I will have a Cadburry Egg in your honor for sure.
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Leigh Drogen is the founder and chief investment officer of Surfview Capital, LLC, a New York based investment management firm employing an intermediate term long/short momentum strategy. More »
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