Leaders Falling, Laggards Churning

A quick update on what I’m seeing this morning.

The issues which have lagged in the last run up are not capitulating, they are holding major support levels here.  What we still have is selling in the stuff which had run up during the last push.  Materials are getting slaughtered here as they were the leaders to the upside a few weeks ago.

What does this tell me?  It says that the market isn’t quite ready to completely roll over.  We are coming down to the 50 day moving average (exponential) on the $SPY which sits at 104.86.  I expect to see a bounce here.  We are oversold and trading well below the 5 day moving average.  Any long positions you take should only be short term as the short term trend is still down.

I would look to tech for a bounce coming out of this sell off.

As well, gold is holding up above 130 despite silver getting slaughtered.  The 127 level is very important.

I still like crude, but will exit my $USO position below 38.60 (the 10 day low).

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