Cheerleaders

Not much you can say about the market right now, just be long and strong, move your stops up and don’t be a cheerleader.  When I first started in this business I was chewed out by my boss on the second day of work for cheering a stock we owned which was having a big day.  He taught me a lesson that I would never forget, these things are pieces of paper, nothing more than lines on a chart and numbers on a page.  Cheering for a stock can get you emotionally attached and bias towards one side of the trade.  Not only that, but you look like a complete douchebag when the stock gaps down the next day and wipes out your profit.

The Fed minutes were a complete joke today.  As long as the Fed keeps saying that the economic recovery is slow you can own equities.  Look, the Fed isn’t raising rates people, you know it, I know it, they know it.  They are betting on the fact that the US can fake it until we make it by coming up with some sort of disruptive new technology or implement reforms in healthcare, energy, immigration, and whatever else that may get this country back on track fiscally.  They will continue flooding the system with liquidity until China says no more and pulls the plug.  I fear this day more than anything if it ever comes, can you say limit down?  We’ve now crossed the 100 week moving average and filled the gap from last October.  I believe our next stop on the $SPX is 1200.  It may get rough along the way, but I believe there isn’t much stopping us.

Energy and materials will lead us there as gold, silver, and crude are the new (old) stores of value in place of the $USDX.  Get ready for another round of crude oil led demand destruction as $CL_F spikes.  Not all, but many of our elected officials, especially in congress, are too worried about their own jobs to do what is necessary in regards to putting together an energy policy for this country.  We will once again feel the pain as crude climbs above 75$ and you pay more at the gas pump and grocery store.

The crux of the issue here is that economically downtrodden areas of this nation, especially in the mid west and mid Atlantic states, can not afford to have strong measures taken against the coal industry.  Congressmen from these states are horrified of what will happen to their jobs if they allow a bill to pass that punishes this industry.  You know what, fuck them.  I am horrified that our representatives are willing to mortgage the future of this economy (country) to protect industries like coal, autos, and other certain manufacturing in order to maintain the low wage jobs (which are disappearing anyway) of their constituents.  These reps have no answer for 150$ oil, they give zero solution to the issue of global warming, and continue to complain that the rich liberal areas of this country are squeezing their “real american” constituents.  My ranting here will never change these people, I know, but I am scared, genuinely scared, that this country will never enact significant energy reform to place money where it is needed in order to pull us off our oil addiction.

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